Seth Lugo
34-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
9-1
ERA
1.72
WHIP
1.01
K
66
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lugo, long a multi-inning reliever, was a full-time starter in 2023 for the first time with mixed results. He finished the season with solid ratios, but a decline in strikeouts and wins in just 8 of his 33 starts limited his overall fantasy value. Lugo has long been known for his high spin rate pitches, but his two primary offerings did not perform the same as a starter as they did when he came in from the pen. The league hit .171 off his fastball and .159 off his curveball in 2022, but those numbers jumped to .247 and .280 last year when he worked as a starter despite both pitches maintaining their high spin rates. Lugo's velocity dipped a bit working in the rotation as well. He opted out of the final year of his deal to become a free agent and cashed in with a three-year, $45 million deal in Kansas City. The workload increase of nearly 100 innings from 2021 to last year is a concern, but Lugo's contract should assure him a rotation spot with the Royals while he remains healthy. Read Past Outlooks
Another strong outing in win
Lugo (9-1) earned the win Wednesday over the Twins, allowing one run on six hits and three walks while striking out five over six innings.
ANALYSIS
Lugo won five of his six starts in May, allowing just nine runs (eight earned) over 40.1 innings in the month. This was just the fourth time in 12 starts Lugo has allowed nine or more baserunners, as he's been one of the most dominant pitchers in the majors this season. The right-hander is now at a 1.72 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 66:18 K:BB over 78.1 innings this season. Lugo's next start is projected to be at Cleveland in a battle between the AL Central's two best teams.
Lugo won five of his six starts in May, allowing just nine runs (eight earned) over 40.1 innings in the month. This was just the fourth time in 12 starts Lugo has allowed nine or more baserunners, as he's been one of the most dominant pitchers in the majors this season. The right-hander is now at a 1.72 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 66:18 K:BB over 78.1 innings this season. Lugo's next start is projected to be at Cleveland in a battle between the AL Central's two best teams.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Seth Lugo generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Seth Lugo generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .226 | 142 | 37 | 120 | 17 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .243 | 133 | 35 | 139 | 17 | |||
2024vs Left | .218 | 33 | 11 | 31 | 2 | |||
2024vs Right | .204 | 33 | 7 | 30 | 4 | |||
2023vs Left | .252 | 76 | 18 | 72 | 12 | |||
2023vs Right | .245 | 64 | 18 | 68 | 7 | |||
2022vs Left | .167 | 33 | 8 | 17 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .279 | 36 | 10 | 41 | 6 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-15%
ERA on Road
2024
-68%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.34 | 1.22 | 132.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 2.85 | 1.08 | 157.2 | 8.6 | 2.2 | ||||
2024Home | 2.72 | 1.24 | 36.1 | 6.2 | 2.0 | ||||
2024Away | 0.86 | 0.81 | 42.0 | 8.8 | 2.1 | ||||
2023Home | 3.66 | 1.23 | 64.0 | 8.9 | 2.1 | ||||
2023Away | 3.50 | 1.18 | 82.1 | 8.4 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Home | 3.41 | 1.17 | 31.2 | 10.5 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Away | 3.78 | 1.17 | 33.1 | 8.6 | 2.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Seth Lugo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.67K/9
7.6BB/9
2.1HR/9
0.7Fastball
92.4 mphERA
1.72WHIP
1.01BABIP
.262GB/FB
1.21Left On Base
89.2%Exit Velocity
81.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2600 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.9%Swinging Strike
9.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Seth Lugo See More
Ranger Suarez & the Philadelphia Phillies meet the New York Mets in London, and Todd Zola has the latest in his Weekly Pitcher Rankings.
Bryce Harper and the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies go mile high to visit the Colorado Rockies & Michael Rathburn has featured this game and others in his MLB Bets and Expert Picks for Friday, May 24.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Mets exploring reunion
The Mets are showing interest in Lugo, per Michael Mayer of MetsmerizedOnline.com.
ANALYSIS
Lugo began his pro career with the Mets and spent seven major-league seasons in Queens between 2016-2022 while working largely in relief. He then headed to San Diego in 2023 and delivered a sharp 3.57 ERA and 140:36 K:BB in 26 starts covering 146.1 innings. The 34-year-old right-hander has also been connected publicly to the Red Sox, Diamondbacks, Reds, Royals, Tigers and Atlanta since he reached free agency in early November.
Lugo began his pro career with the Mets and spent seven major-league seasons in Queens between 2016-2022 while working largely in relief. He then headed to San Diego in 2023 and delivered a sharp 3.57 ERA and 140:36 K:BB in 26 starts covering 146.1 innings. The 34-year-old right-hander has also been connected publicly to the Red Sox, Diamondbacks, Reds, Royals, Tigers and Atlanta since he reached free agency in early November.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Lugo signed a one-year, $7.5 deal with the Padres that includes incentives for starting and relieving. The 33-year-old has appeared in 275 games throughout his seven-year career, with only 38 of those outings coming as a starter. Lugo has worked exclusively in relief the past two seasons, compiling a 3.56 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 124:37 K:BB over 111.1 innings, but he currently projects to open 2023 as San Diego's fifth starter and will build up as such. If he wins that job during spring training, it's reasonable to envision him shifting to the bullpen at some point, similar to Nick Martinez last year.
More Fantasy News
Sharp in eighth win
Lugo (8-1) picked up the win Friday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over seven innings in an 8-1 victory over the Rays. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out 10 in win
Lugo (7-1) earned the win Saturday over the Athletics, allowing two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out 10 over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in win
Lugo (6-1) allowed one run on five hits while striking out 12 and walking none over eight innings to earn the win over the Angels on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Settles in after shaky start
Lugo didn't factor into the decision Tuesday against Milwaukee, allowing three runs on six hits and a walk over 6.2 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in fifth win
Lugo (5-1) picked up the win Wednesday in a 6-1 victory over the Blue Jays, allowing one run on two hits and two walks over seven innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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