Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.292
HR
5
RBI
25
R
25
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected. Read Past Outlooks
Four hits Sunday
Guerrero went 4-for-5 with a double, an RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 14-11 defeat to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Guerrero stayed hot Sunday, recording his fifth multi-hit game over his last 10 contests. During that span, Guerrero is batting a torrid .410 with six RBI and seven runs scored. The 25-year-old has recovered from his slow start to the season as his average now sits above .300 on the year.
Guerrero stayed hot Sunday, recording his fifth multi-hit game over his last 10 contests. During that span, Guerrero is batting a torrid .410 with six RBI and seven runs scored. The 25-year-old has recovered from his slow start to the season as his average now sits above .300 on the year.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
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#7
#8
#9
27
19
#1
#2
#3
#4
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#6
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#8
#9
8
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .734 | 297 | 7 | 31 | .260 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .817 | 1345 | 56 | 185 | .276 | ||||
2024vs Left | .706 | 51 | 1 | 10 | .238 | ||||
2024vs Right | .818 | 203 | 4 | 15 | .305 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+5%
OPS on Road
2024
+4%
OPS on Road
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .781 | 796 | 30 | 114 | .264 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .823 | 846 | 33 | 102 | .281 | ||||
2024Home | .780 | 115 | 1 | 13 | .310 | ||||
2024Away | .810 | 139 | 4 | 12 | .277 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.77BB Rate
13.4%K Rate
17.3%BABIP
.347ISO
.114AVG
.292OBP
.390SLG
.406OPS
.796wOBA
.357Exit Velocity
94.1 mphHard Hit Rate
40.6%Barrels/PA
7.9%Expected BA
.307Expected SLG
.490Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/secGround Ball %
51.4%Line Drive %
21.1%Fly Ball %
27.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be traded this summer
The Blue Jays are open to trading Guerrero, but their asking price in preliminary negotiations has been "ridiculous," per Mark Feinsand of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old hasn't typically been a slow starter in his MLB career, but that's the case in 2024 as his .759 OPS through 47 games would be a career worst. Guerrero is hitting .279 with a 12.7 percent walk rate, but a .106 ISO is nearly half his career mark of .204. The Blue Jays likely won't be in a hurry to deal the slugging first baseman as he's under contract through 2025, but he should net a strong return if the club decides to sell this summer. That scenario is certainly feasible, as Toronto is currently ranked last in the AL East with a 21-26 record.
The 25-year-old hasn't typically been a slow starter in his MLB career, but that's the case in 2024 as his .759 OPS through 47 games would be a career worst. Guerrero is hitting .279 with a 12.7 percent walk rate, but a .106 ISO is nearly half his career mark of .204. The Blue Jays likely won't be in a hurry to deal the slugging first baseman as he's under contract through 2025, but he should net a strong return if the club decides to sell this summer. That scenario is certainly feasible, as Toronto is currently ranked last in the AL East with a 21-26 record.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
It was expected that Guerrero would drop back from his incredible 2021 season due to Toronto playing full-time at Rogers Centre rather than the cozy environments of Dunedin and Buffalo, as well as the changes to Camden Yards for road trips. Factor in the mushball and his homers dropped off to where we realistically should have expected them to be, but it was surprising to see both his runs and RBIs fall back below 100 considering the talent in the lineup around him in Toronto. Whereas he hit .315 with 11 homers with runners in scoring position in 2021, those numbers fell to .267 and five respectively last year in nearly identical sample sizes. RISP production lacks year-over-year stickiness, but it was an issue last year as the league did tend to pitch around him leading to more walks (11 percent) in those situations than others (eight percent.) The eight steals were a nice bonus, considering he is not the fleetest of foot. We can call him a five-category contributor as a first baseman; he cannot quite pull off a younger Paul Goldschmidt, but who can?
More Fantasy News
On base three times Friday
Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a walk and a double in Friday's loss to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Double, homer in win
Guerrero went 2-for-5 with a double, a two-run home run and two runs scored in Thursday's win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Four hits in comeback win
Guerrero went 4-for-5 with a run scored, three RBI and a stolen base in Saturday's 10-8 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits in Wednesday's win
Guerrero went 3-for-5 with an RBI in Wednesday's win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Launches grand slam
Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a walk and a grand slam during Sunday's 11-8 loss to the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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