Aaron Civale
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
2-2
ERA
6.14
WHIP
1.34
K
39
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
Bailed out by offense
Civale escaped with a no-decision Friday in Tampa Bay's 10-8 win over the Mets, coughing up seven runs on six hits and a walk over 4.2 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
New York tagged him for three runs in the second inning and four more in the fifth, but Civale still left the mound with the Rays ahead 9-7. The right-hander tossed 52 of 77 pitches for strikes as he allowed five or more runs for the third straight outing. The rough patch has sent his ratios soaring, and Civale will carry a 6.14 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 39:10 K:BB through 36.2 innings into his next start, which lines up to come at home next week against the White Sox.
New York tagged him for three runs in the second inning and four more in the fifth, but Civale still left the mound with the Rays ahead 9-7. The right-hander tossed 52 of 77 pitches for strikes as he allowed five or more runs for the third straight outing. The rough patch has sent his ratios soaring, and Civale will carry a 6.14 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 39:10 K:BB through 36.2 innings into his next start, which lines up to come at home next week against the White Sox.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-27%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .246 | 135 | 34 | 113 | 17 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .244 | 118 | 31 | 128 | 16 | |||
2024vs Left | .316 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 4 | |||
2024vs Right | .231 | 22 | 5 | 21 | 3 | |||
2023vs Left | .234 | 66 | 16 | 55 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .237 | 50 | 17 | 54 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .240 | 52 | 13 | 40 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .257 | 46 | 9 | 53 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
ERA at Home
2024
-43%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.29 | 1.10 | 130.0 | 9.8 | 2.1 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.50 | 1.29 | 126.0 | 7.9 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 4.76 | 1.01 | 22.2 | 10.7 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Away | 8.36 | 1.86 | 14.0 | 7.7 | 3.9 | ||||
2023Home | 4.48 | 1.16 | 62.1 | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 2.40 | 1.17 | 60.0 | 7.5 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.80 | 1.07 | 45.0 | 9.8 | 1.8 | ||||
2022Away | 5.88 | 1.29 | 52.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.90K/9
9.6BB/9
2.5HR/9
1.7Fastball
91.9 mphERA
6.14WHIP
1.34BABIP
.332GB/FB
1.03Left On Base
58.7%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2656 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.7%Swinging Strike
10.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Looking like trade chip
Civale is a candidate to be traded, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Morosi notes that Shane Bieber is likely to stay put now that he's on the 15-day injured list with a right elbow injury, but the Guardians could still look to move a starting pitcher. Civale is an option to be on the block if the club is looking to sell high, as the righty boasts a 2.65 ERA in 10 starts.
Morosi notes that Shane Bieber is likely to stay put now that he's on the 15-day injured list with a right elbow injury, but the Guardians could still look to move a starting pitcher. Civale is an option to be on the block if the club is looking to sell high, as the righty boasts a 2.65 ERA in 10 starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.
More Fantasy News
Surrenders six runs Saturday
Civale allowed six runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out three batters over 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the White Sox on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Falls apart against NYY
Civale (2-2) took the loss Sunday, allowing five runs on eight hits and five walks over 4.2 innings against the Yankees. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in quality start
Civale came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 7-6 extra-innings win over the Angels, giving up three runs on five hits over six innings. He struck out eight without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Limits Angels to two earned runs
Civale (2-1) picked up the win Tuesday, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits and a walk across five innings against the Angels. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Hard-luck loss vs. Rangers
Civale (1-1) took the loss Wednesday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over six innings against the Rangers. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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